Politics file pg1 (pg2 coming soon) [Directory]


The Crusade for the Third Millennium-the war with iraq read more

The War On Terrorism-why America's worth fighting for-anthems for the American soul read more

Yes to preemptive war and American hegemony read more

Post-war Iraq-the rise of the new Islamic caliphate? read more

The evolutionary origin of politics read more

Supercues in politics-rousing the animals in the brain read more

The biology of caring read more

Imprinting, phenotypes and politics read more

Is Earth Day an Arab plot? Who's shilling for the Arabs, the Bushes, the left, or both? read more

Neural nets, police states, and civil society read more

The role of the press read more

Lewinksyism and the Platonic flaw in the Constitution read more

Censorship read more

Marketing murder-the case of Viet Nam read more

The genocidal impulse read more

Racism, impurity and the preening instinct read more

Reconciliation read more

The battle against God read more

Land vs. sea empires read more

The shifting hierarchy of nations read more

The games subcultures play read more

Parallel distributed conspiracies read more

Intergenerational flips and Hitler worship--The Colorado Massacre read more

Reports from South Africa read more

The plague pocked poverty of Black Africa read more

The era of the cyber, the era of the soul--x men credos read more

Is the cyber world real? read more

Secular Salvation--The Role of Media in a post-Millennial World--electrofringe99 read more

Defeating deconstruction read more

Building the cultural tower-reaching toward the gods read more

Tourist trips to hell, we have them seven times a day read more

Business as self revelation and secular salvation read more

Old mcdonalds had a farm read more

Plumbing the depths of misery, climbing the spires of joy read more

The Y generation and beyond read more

Reports from generation Z read more

Ditch traditions that drain the joy from those they're meant to serve read more

From small stones pyramids are made read more

Do androids sleep? read more

The mass illness of the modern American male read more

Love your penis read more

In defense of civil rights for the chronically ill read more

A Grameen Bank for men? read more

Can you measure a culture by its cups of coffee? read more

Bill Gates and the return of planned obsolescence read more

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The Crusade for the Third Millennium-the war with iraq
see ..\socio\articles by hb\arab censorship in the west\islamic censorship for russ kick 1102-08.doc
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In a message dated 3/28/2003 11:28:57 AM Eastern Standard Time, KServer writes: Can you mail me a few words about this Russian strategy "that defeated Hitler and Napoleon"? Lure them as far into the country as you can. Give them the ebullient sense that they are conquering something--nay, everything. Let them string their supply lines out until they are as thin as the weakest thread. Then snip the supply lines behind them--and, in the case of Napoleon--empty Moscow so that once they take it, they've taken nothing but empty buildings. And let them fight your ally--the weather--the winter, the snow, and the ice, in Russia's case, the summer and the sandstorms in the case of Iraq. The higher their emotions fly in the beginning, the deeper their despair will sink when things begin to turn bad.
Howard
pps I forgot the key ingredient--let Tchaikovsky write the soundtrack.
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Tell Mike I said hello. Watching the chess game of the Iraq War unfold is remarkable. Can it really be true that the military is surprised by the surprises Saddam is throwing in its face? Saddam's using the classic Russian strategy that defeated Napoleon and Hitler. Don't they teach em at West Point that winning wars is all about innovation in the way you break the rules? Hb 3/27/2003
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re the Iraq War 3/23/2003 It is getting a lot better! God Bless our John Mark & HB: President and his Staff! hb: The ultimate press junket--"embedding" reporters in military platoons, getting them to bond with the soldiers and see things from the soldiers' point of view--is a stroke of pr brilliance. It's the first wise pr move Bush has made in ages. jm: The media is more precise in reporting the Iraq operation now, and a lot more unified. We need this kind of unity for the world to understand that this "surgical" war is not an aggression of any sort, but good will of American people to help the world to remove great mischief. Only disoriented men and women would criticize this glorious and courageous moment for freedom i.e. Senator Daschle, the French, the instinct-driven demonstrators, and other factions in our society and worldwide. hb: and my entire upscale, intellectual, left-leaning neighborhood. Howard

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many of my intellectual Internet friends know with all their heart and soul that 9/11 was the product of a Bush family/CIA/Mossad conspiracy. Osama and Moslems had almost nothing to do with it. The intellectual elite from Paris to LA forgot--or never wanted to know-the harm that militant Islam did when New York was attacked. CIA-mania is a great way to make yourself feel powerful-it's a great way to convince yourself that your leaders secretly control the world and that no other culture is sufficiently powerful to create the faintest ripple. Conspiracy thinking is narcissism disguised as political acuity. Hb 3/25/2003
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Karen ellis 2/28/2003 ke: US world domination sounds fine with me, at least it's not war which is worse. hb:

If the human race is going to survive, this world needs a single superpower imposing peace…a hegemony...like the Pax Romana or the Pax Britannica. The superpower policing the planet will either be the United States or China. I'd prefer the United States.

The Chinese would let us be entrepreneurs, but would silence our freedom of speech. They might also steal our technologies and cripple our industries in order to achieve economic dominance.

I like being able to express my opinions. And I like being able to hear yours. I think our society is far more lithe and creative because we can wrangle out our thoughts-even if they do demonstrate a loathing of the current administration. None of this would be allowed in a world dominated by post-Dengism.

Peace and order are based on a monopoly of force. A monopoly of cannons allowed the building of the nation-state. Now we're in a global age. It's time for a new form of monopoly. It is time, in fact, for what a mental midget in the White House is advocating-pre-emptive war.

To achieve a monopoly of force, you have to demonstrate that you're willing to use it.

We have two choices. We go to war now and kill, let's say 200,000 folks--a horrid and grisly notion. Killing a single human is an inexcusable crime. But we send out a loud and clear message that if you nuclearize, you are dead. We take care of Saddam and either scare the bejesus out of Kim Jung Il or whack him.

Or we wait three to five years. By then every crack-assed, this-planet-is-a-cinder-in-the-eye-of-Allah-and-is-expendable, I-wanna-go-to-Paradise-and-collect-my-virgins dictator on the face of this earth will have his private stash of nuclear weapons. Then we'll watch anywhere from 200 million to 2 billion humans go up in glowing embers--assuming any humans survive at all. And assuming you and I are not among the victims.

Remember the lessons of the 20th Century. We could have taken Kaiser Wilhelm down in roughly 1905. At that point he was too weak militarily to sustain a war of more than two to five months. Instead we had peace movements, hoped for the success of diplomacy, and gave the Kaiser time to build a nearly unbeatable military. The result: a seemingly endless war that started in 1913 and killed 20 million.

In 1936, when Hitler broke the Treaty of Locarno and militarized the Rhineland, we could have easily wiped him out. He was bluffing. His military machine wasn't yet strong enough to defend itself against an attack by an alliance determined to stop his territorial hunger. Instead we had peace movements and hoped to address Germany's "legitimate grievances," resolving them via diplomacy. By 1939, Hitler's army was strong enough, his generals told him, to sustain a war of approximately six years. Again, tens of millions died because we wanted to settle things in a civilized manner.

Do you want to be an accomplice in the death of between 200 million and 2 billion people? If so, please join your local peace march and chant until your uvula turns green.

I want a world of peace. So do you. But until our understanding of ourselves goes a good deal farther, we have to face the fact that we live in a world of violence. If we pledge to remain non-violent, those who've declared themselves our enemies and who love "death more than you love life" will chuckle at our weakness…and use it to cheer their comrades on to new atrocities. They will fight the battle of the faithful and the good--the fight for justice, manners, and purity-the battle for the truth of God's messenger. They will assert the truth expressed by an al-Qaeda-allied author, Seif Al-Din Al-Ansari, that we live on an expendable "speck of dust called Planet Earth." They will use our reticence to make the mother of all wars. And it will not be environmentally friendly.
Copyright 2003 Howard Bloom
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yes, the ideal goal is to make this kind of friendship possible worldwide. There are periodic convulsions when social groups grab for the top rung of the ladder. This is something we haven't yet learned how to stop---except through the kind of monopoly of force that built nation-states and empires, not to mention the Pax Romana, the Pax Britannica, and the period of stability we call the Cold War. A global order will be an order enforced by a monopoly of weapons of mass destruction. The question is: who will maintain this monopoly--the UN, the US, the EU, China, or a global Islamic caliphate. Howard
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In a message dated 4/20/2003 11:11:16 AM Eastern Daylight Time, wdavid writes: => http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/evil/ Too little.....way too late? You're not kidding. And let's have a little honesty in the press. The subtitle of PBS "The Triumph of Evil"--"How the west ignored the warning of the 1994 Rwanda genocide and turned its back on the victims," should be, "How PBS ignored the warning of the 1994 Rwanda genocide and turned its back on the victims." The name of the publication or media outlet should be changed for each outlet that has the guts to do a soul-search, a mea culpa, and...the only thing that counts in the end...a policy change. Three mass-murder-in-the-making topics the press in every country that's sniping at the Iraq War should now be covering are: the comparison between the number of civilian casualties in this war and the number of violent deaths per year at the hands of Saddam's regime. A comparison of this sort in Afghanistan showed the the number of civilian deaths was less than the number of those killed per year during the previous never-ending old civil war. In other words, our invasion of Afghanistan had saved lives. the comparison between the number of civilian casualties in the Iraq War and the number of violent deaths per year at the hands of Assad's regime in Syria (a regime that established itself by killing 20,000 Syrians right off the bat). and the number of civilian casualties we are likely to have worldwide in five years time if the proliferation of nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons is allowed to continue unfettered. Well, not quite unfettered. Helped along by technology-and-materials sales made to dictators and to terrorists with murderous philosophies by the troika of peace-loving nations France, Germany, and Russia. Let me close with a quote from one of today's customers for French, German, and Russian nuclear know-how: "The elements of the collapse of Western civilization are proliferating...In spite of all the characteristics of power at their command, these infidel states are no more than a handful of creatures on the speck of dust called Planet Earth....Allah told us of the certainty of the annihilation of the infidels...by means of the Muslim group, which would, in accordance with the Islamic commandment...torture them...The question now on the agenda is, how is the torture Allah wants done at our hands to be carried out?" From Al Qaeda's online magazine Al-Ansar. _____ Howard Bloom Author of The Lucifer Principle: A Scientific Expedition Into the Forces of History and Global Brain: The Evolution of Mass Mind From The Big Bang to the 21st Century www.howardbloom.net Visiting Scholar--Graduate Psychology Department, New York University Founder: International Paleopsychology Project; Founder, Big Bang Tango Media Lab; founding board member: Epic of Evolution Society; founding council member, The Darwin Project; member: New York Academy of Sciences, American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Psychological Society, Academy of Political Science, Human Behavior and Evolution Society, International Society of Human Ethology; advisory board member: Youthactivism.org; executive editor -- New Paradigm book series. For two chapters from The Lucifer Principle: A Scientific Expedition Into the Forces of History, see www.howardbloom.net/lucifer For information on Global Brain: The Evolution of Mass Mind from the Big Bang to the 21st Century, see www.howardbloom.net For Reinventing Capitalism: Putting Soul In the Machine, see: http://howardbloom.net/reinventing_capitalism or http://www.howardbloom.net/reinventing_capitalism.pdf
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In a message dated 4/20/2003 11:16:58 AM Eastern Daylight Time, checker writes: General Tommy Franks should resign for failing to prevent the looting of the National Museum of Iraq and other repositories. This destruction of seven thousand years of the records of civilization is far, far worse than the attacks on the World Trade Center. If he does not resign, he should be fired. I am beginning to hate the country I once loved. It is that bad. Frank--try to remember, when we went into Baghdad, we were told we were going to be met by a vast army of suicide bombers from all over the world, men who would relentlessly turn our troops into hamburger. Saddam told us this on Iraqi national tv before the war even began, parading fathers from Egypt, Syria, and Algeria before the cameras to tell why they had come to aid in Saddam's Great Jihad. We were also told we would be met by every kind of fiendish surprise, including chemical and biological weaponry. Our job was to watch out for the lives of our own soldiers first and of Iraqi civilians next. We asked our people to be on the alert for attacks meant to inflict death, not for vandelism. Our troops were trained to fight and to prevent mass murder, not to make themselves sitting-duck targets at historically important places. Howard
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ap: One last thing sir, what is your take on shadow governments and world policies and agendas being controlled essentially by a 'secretive' and elitists group?

hb: I believe that these are the fantasies of people who need an easy scapegoat, a human they can punish to relieve frustration and gain a sense of control over complex and troubling world events. There are connections that span continents--the economic oil wars between France's TotalFinaElf, Russia's oil companies, and the American firms connected with the Bush family are part of the mesh that's made America hawkish on Iraq and that has put France and Russia (which has over 300 oil contracts with Iraq) on the side of "peace." As real as these things are and as necessary as it is to bring them to the light, oil is only one of the reasons we are now at war in Iraq--and one of the smallest details of a war that will play--for better or worse--a very important part in history. The hunt for a small cabal secretly running the planet sooner or later manages to discover that the Elders of Zion--the Jews--are behind every evil and every event that perplexes or disturbs us. The implied solution is the equivalent of a witchhunt in a primitive society. Stop the milk from curdling and the cows from coming down with strange diseases by eradicating the vermin--the Jews. ap: I have not paid much heed to conspiracy theorists but several pieces of literature including "The Franklin Cover-Up" by John W. DeCamp has heightened my curiosity (I'm sure you've also visited info-wars.com, prisonplanet.com). Again, I just wanted to know where you may stand on these aspects of the 'unknown'. hb: in human affairs, Occam's razor doesnt work. The simplest explanation is usually wrong. The number of elements that converge to create an iraq war is huge. And it is not the causal elements that count the most. It's the impact on the citizens of this world--on their ability to survive as a species and on their ability to thrive creatively.

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I'm all for the New American Century and a 21st century American hegemony. The alternatives are nuclear chaos and the end of humanity--in roughly three years time--or a Pax Sinicus--a Chinese hegemony, which the Chinese are angling for. But what do these musings have to do with the evolution of culture? What do they tell us about human nature? Why are they on a science discussion list, not a political discussion list? We are evolving willy nilly into a global culture or, as I said, a race that incinerates itself. The New American Century people are trying to take evolution by the horns and steer her before she produces one of her favorite tricks--a great die-off, a repeat of the death of the dinosaurs. Evolution has managed to give herself a consciousness. The beings in which she's housed this new experiment is us--you and me, George Bush and chairman Hu. Let's not squander it. The way of life that gives both you and the people you dislike, the advocates of a new american century, a right to speak and compete peacefully is worth preserving. It's even worth disseminating. But this brings me back from science to political opinion again. How do we get the science back into this discussion? Howard In a message dated 3/19/2003 12:32:16 PM Eastern Standard Time, shovland@mindspring.com writes: http://www.newamericancentury.org/ The Project for the New American Century is a non-profit educational organization dedicated to a few fundamental propositions: that American leadership is good both for America and for the world; that such leadership requires military strength, diplomatic energy and commitment to moral principle; and that too few political leaders today are making the case for global leadership. The Project for the New American Century intends, through issue briefs, research papers, advocacy journalism, conferences, and seminars, to explain what American world leadership entails. It will also strive to rally support for a vigorous and principled policy of American international involvement and to stimulate useful public debate on foreign and defense policy and America's role in the world. _____ Howard Bloom
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The war talk is creating a very interesting global brain at the moment. Date: 1/30/2003 8:12:45 PM Eastern Standard Time From: shovland To: howardbloom Sent from the Internet It's a brain we've seen many times before. This year's Neville Chaimberlan's are the populations and heads of state of France and Germany--not to mention our own peace activists, who will be the first to complain that the government did nothing to stop the next Jihadist atrocity--one that poisons or levels a major American city. Howard
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J: Why is Di sleeping downstairs not up with you? Does she feel she will interupt your work? hb: no. she wants to escape, what, me, the fact that my room is decorated and lit my way, not hers--not noticing that she controls the look and feel of 1,350 sq ft of space here. Who knows, but Joyce, she wouldn't recognize the consideration you have. The two of you are opposites. You are so genuinely caring and concerned about the feelings of others that you restrict yourself beyond endurance and end up with bitterness and resentment through what was meant to be love. Di doesn't see other people's feelings. Instead she projects hers onto them. The ironies here have to do with war as well. You will HATE the point of view I espouse on the radio--that it's 1936 and we have a chance to save 40 million lives or more. How? Via a war that kills 20,000, or even 200,000. Killing a single human being is unspeakable, Joyce. But the price of timidity this time round will not be the 40 million lives destroyed because of our self-deception--our appeasement efforts, or peace movements of the 1930s. The price this time will be anywhere from 200 million to 2 billion and perhaps the very end of our species. The reasoning is complex, and you may never want to speak to me again, but I am for this war because I do not want to see the far, far bigger war, the nuclear conflict we will have in three years time if we do not assert ourselves today.
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ct: if I exchanged the word terrorism with communism, then nothing has changed and we're once again going backwards instead of forwards. It makes me sad. hb: we haven't managed to unravel the challenge of our biology. Ants make war. Chimps make war. And even flowering plants make war. As evolution with a conscience, it's time for us to find a way around it. But we can only do that if we take the threat of real enemies seriously. If we lose, the right to choose will go down with us. You're right--the rhetoric against an enemy is as old as the Mahabarata, the Iliad, and the Bible--all books about war. But when it comes to primitive hate speech, you should hear what folks from Algeria to Malaysia are saying about us. And they were saying it even while we helped save their co-religionists in Bosnia and in Kuwait. The only people we've fought for since 1990 have been Moslems. Yet the hate speech against us in Islamic communities would astonish you. It calls for our death--yours and mine. And the words "death" and "kill" are not being used metaphorically. Howard
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In a message dated 3/8/2003 8:57:32 AM Eastern Standard Time, anonymous writes: > > 3/8/2003 8:57:32 AM Eastern Standard Time > > > > > From: > >> > > > > To: > > Howl Bloom > > > Hi Howard: > > Thanks, Ruth is fine and in the final steps of a career change. If all goes > well she should be offered a job next week as the CEO of a pretty big NGO > that invests in entrepreneurs and building of social-capital. hb: wow, Richard, this is fabulous. It is so much up the alley of what Afghanistan--and most of the Islamic world-- needs that it's amazing. In what countries does the NGO operate? It is a big > shift in focus for her, at least in terms of organizations, but her job > functions will remain the same. It is never to late to learn something > new--keeps one young and I am fully supportive. > hb: it'll always keep her new. she'll be growing the creativity of others. creativity constantly changes and amazes. rk: > I am off tonight to be part of the U.S. delegation to the Convention on > Certain Conventional Weapons--a multinational laws of war forum in Geneva. > I expect an interesting week in that our venue will fall in the shadow of > events in the UN in NY and that many present, particularly the NGO observers > will be putting our delegation under a lot of anti-war pressure or pressure > not to use either cluster munitions or landmines of any type in conflict with > Iraq. This issue, like so many others is clouded by individuals and groups > that are over emotionally attached to the wrong set of facts or who lack true > historical perspective. hb: an accurate statement, to say the least. rk: We the US have the safest arsenal and most > legalistic targeting procedures of any country in the world. I must > communicate that to others, while working to ensure that we get even better > so that influence and status can accumulate for our country. hb: this takes a pr effort--contrasting US standards for tergetting and weapons use with another country ever day, presenting new visuals for the press to absorb. It's really anti-Americanism you're up against, not rationality. > rk: > Hey, what do you think about the behavior of the French? hb: it's suicidal. The worst case scenario--Pakistan falls into the hands of the Osamaites. The Osamaites--whether Osama is dead or alive--do the ultimate pr move. They use Pakistan's missile carrying stealth submarines to nuke the top ten or fifteen cities in the US. Europe goes week at the knees and France does what it did with Hitler--works its tale off to appease. The Osamaites are ready to take over the reins and make France Islamic. After all, God promised the Jihadists victory over Constaniple and Rome. It took him 700 years to deliver all of the Eastern Roman Empire (Constantinople) into Moslem hands, but God made good on his word. Islam means submission, one must act and one must fight, but one must be patient. Rome, the Western Roman Empire--which means all of Europe--is next on the list. Imagine what a Vichy government a la Osama would be. There's another thing we and the French have failed to take into account. Osama does not view Baghdad as the capital of Iraq. Iraq is one of the false nation states the unbelievers created to sever the sinews and tendons of Islam. Baghdad is the capital of all Islam, the capital of the coming Caliphate. Though Osama is obliged by the Koran to ally himself with the Moslems of this false state, Iraq, against the attack of the kafirs, it is also the duty of the Osamaites to overthrow Saddam, the secular leader who dares separate religion from government. We will be doing the Osamaites a favor in removing Saddam. We will open a power void the Osamaites and other Jihadists are anxious to fill. The ultimate goal--to establish Baghdad as the capital or one of the capitals of a borderless Islamic empire--a unified, global ummah. rk: How important is > it that the US had the vote of the security council? Or is it time to > acknowledge that this body, designed to prevent wars between the armies of > nation states and structured to reflect the distribution of power in the > world circa 1950 something is no longer relevant when wars > are not fought by > uniformed militaries and power has reordered itself? > hb: we have to act. And we have to do it quickly so we can turn our attention to the problem in Korea. The goal of the Plan for The New American Century, if it exists, has to be to stop nuclear proliferation with force when that's necessary. The UN's endorsement would be nice. It's valuable to have as many allies as you can get. But it's not just the UN that may be proving its irrelevance, it may be all of Europe. Meanwhile, we are in for many an unwelcome surprise. The law of unintended consequences is going to whack us big time. But we have to persist. I just wish Bush were able to articulate why this war and his dad's New World Order--a pax Americana--are necessary. And I wish he were able to repeat it every day--each time with new visual clips for the TV news folks showing projected scenarios of the horrors we are determined to stop. Bush's right hand woman, I forget her name, was a genius at malevolent press manipulation on the national stage. But when it comes to pr in the international arena, the Bush administration needs help. Warmly--Howard
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Military Buildup Could Spur Regime Change By NANCY BENAC .c The Associated Press WASHINGTON (AP) - Every American bomb, bullet and brigade going to the Gulf seems to increase the likelihood of war with Iraq. But there is a possibility - if slim - that the military buildup could get President Saddam Hussein out of power without a fight. The United States is waging a determined campaign to convince Iraqi military commanders of the futility of opposing the American war machine and of the wisdom of turning on Saddam before the shooting starts. In short, it is a campaign to spook Iraq's high command. ``With a little bit of luck and a little bit of intimidation, the Iraqi Army may do the job for us,'' says retired Marine Lt. Gen. Bernard Trainor, author of a book on the Persian Gulf War. Likewise, retired Army Gen. Barry McCaffrey, who led an infantry division in the 1991 war, believes there's ``a third of a chance that we'll end up avoiding war'' and still disarm Iraq. Without the military buildup, says McCaffrey, ``There would be zero chance.'' The odds of a military coup are greatly diminished by Saddam's elaborate security apparatus, which has different rings of forces that constantly keep watch on one another, with the most loyal forces kept closest to Saddam's side. A saying in the region holds that Saddam knows a general is disloyal before the officer does. ``The one thing he's really good at is sniffing out threats to his regime,'' said Andrew Terrill, research professor at the U.S. Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute. As for the possibility that Saddam might offer to go into exile, Terrill said that's not in his psychological makeup. In addition, some think the U.S. buildup will achieve a momentum that will be hard to stop short of war. The Brookings Institution's Michael O'Hanlon says once the military presence reaches a certain level, perhaps 150,000 or 200,000 people in the region, ``You're on a path to war.'' He puts the odds of avoiding war at probably less than 10 or 20 percent. Adds Terrill: ``The buildup puts pressure on President Bush to act. I don't know how long you can just have a gun pointed at him (Saddam), cocked, and not do anything.'' Trainor said hope for an insurrection hinges on convincing the Iraqi military of two conditions: ``visible evidence of overwhelming and decisive force, and the willingness of the president of the United States to use it regardless of what the United Nations says.'' It's a message that President Bush is trying to communicate with each new deployment order and each presidential pronouncement about his impatience with Saddam. Against that backdrop, U.S. officials said this week that war also could be averted if Saddam should go into exile.

Day after day, the Pentagon trickles out news of additional forces being sent to the Gulf region, everything from the hospital ship USNS Comfort to assault ships based in San Diego and fighter wings from Virginia. About 60,000 soldiers already are in the region, and the Pentagon has given the go-ahead for up to 125,000 more, toward a force that eventually could reach 250,000. Britain, the strongest U.S. ally against Iraq, is committing 26,000 soldiers - a quarter of its army - to the region. It already dispatched the aircraft carrier HMS Ark Royal at the head of the country's biggest naval deployment since the 1982 Falklands War against Argentina. To complement the splashy military buildup, the United States is using a variety of information warfare tactics, including propaganda broadcasts to Iraqi soldiers and the first-ever use of e-mail to generals on the opposing side, to nudge the Iraqi military toward betrayal and defection. U.S. intelligence, for example, has been increasing ``info-ops,'' in which leaflets dropped over Iraq urge people to listen to specific radio frequencies that carry messages like this one addressed to ``soldiers of Iraq:'' ``Saddam does not care for the military of Iraq. Saddam uses his soldiers as puppets, not for the glory of Iraq, but for his own personal glory. ... How much longer will this incompetent leader be allowed to rule? How many more soldiers is he willing to sacrifice? Will your unit be the next one to be sacrificed?'' U.S. officials have served notice repeatedly that top lieutenants who remain loyal to Saddam and those who unleash chemical or biological weapons could ultimately face trial as war criminals. History offers many examples of soldiers and their leaders making pragmatic decisions to switch sides when they sensed the jig was up. In Afghanistan, most recently, less-committed Taliban commanders defected and brought along the soldiers at their command, which hastened defeat of the hard-line government. In the days after World War II, the Nationalist forces of Chiang Kai-shek suffered wholesale defections after Mao Zedong seized the countryside and began driving the Nationalists into the cities. Andrew Krepinevich, executive director of the nonprofit Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessment, said the key question now is when Saddam's underlings will ``begin to fear the consequences of war and a coalition victory more than they fear the tyrant for whom they work.'' The U.S. military buildup may serve to hasten that ``crossover point,'' Krepinevich said, but he added: ``I think it will take more than a sense that war is inevitable. It may occur perhaps following the initial attacks - if they are devastating.'' 01/22/03
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In a message dated 3/3/2003 2:13:20 AM Eastern Standard Time, Snotpanda writes: In a message dated 3/2/03 12:39:54 AM, Howl Bloom writes: <<So is this me or is this normalcy? >> Possibly the funniest question you've ever asked me, made funnier still by the fact that you're asking ME. As if I would know anything about normalcy. Or as if there's any such thing in the first place. Well, clearly we've spoken about many or all of the things contained in your email...and it was a pleasure to do so last night. Indeed a visit to the breezy Bloom estate is in order for the near future, though I'm not sure when since I'm in the middle of procrastinating on a freelance storyboard. hb: LOL. I suspect I procrastinate--doing the easy things sometimes instead of the really tough ones. But a day or two of easy things makes me itchy for the tough ones. Chris, work is my salvation--it wakes me up and energizes me. Though sometimes it's devilishly rough, but, heck, so is rafting the Colorado River and folks actually pay to endure that chain of challenges. cm: You probably have no idea what procrastination is, do you? You shame me with your energy and enthusiasm and multiple burners burning, multiple plates spinning. hb: yes, but Chris, you should be in my head when I wake up and don't want to, then have to push myself for an hour to get my engine started. Sometimes it feels like pushing a Mack truck whose gear is stuck in reverse. I just come alive when you talk to me. Why? You're talking to me. But sometimes I luck out. I was in a state of serious torpor yesterday--not wanting to talk to a soul. Then a call came in from a Canadian reporter wanting to schedule an interview. So we did the interview on the spot. It took about two minutes to go from total dead-head mode to exhiliration. I have to figure out a way to write by talking to people. Writing in the traditional way is too lonely. It produces some things that talking won't and can't, but there has to be a way to achieve a mix of the two. I've bought a micro-digital tape recorder that comes with Dragon speech recognition software. The software's trained to recognize my voice and to turn whatever I record into wordprocessed stuff. (It allegedly will also read anything in the computer out loud...but we'll have to see if that works.) it's fifteen minutes later and you motivated me. I will now look more insane than ever. I've been walking around with this micro-mini-digital recorder added to my highly electonicized belt, but haven't used it once. So I just ordered a lavalier mike I can clip to my shirt and wear all day. When a conversation gets interesting, I'm going to have to overcome my inhibitions (not easy) and ask if I can turn on my digital recorder and record. We'll see how--and if--it works out. Now if I could just figure out a way to attach a video tape recorder to a gizmo that positiions it three feet from my face, I could sell videos taken from conversations, since conversations seem to be where my best ideas come from. It's the Chris McCulloch-every-friend-brings-out-a-different-self principle. It's also the Bloom only-an-audience-brings-out-a-self-at-all principle. cm: If there's any particular thing I'm down in the dumps about lately, more than girls or cartoon futures, it's my limited mental and physical capacity. Let's just say that the mind isn't bursting with bountiful ideas lately, hb: aha. you need an audience. are the monkey suit guys good for that? am I? Why don't we work on developing a Howard the Humongous strip? If we did, I'd try to get my friend Marcel Roele involved. He's Holland's leading science writer and has a wicked grasp of science and an ability to put it across with flair, vividness, and humor. Problem is he has a wife and baby and needs to make money.

But he's a huge supporter of the Bloom-change-the-world project. He sees it as something that we need to insert so potently into the culture that it goes on after all of us have croaked. Have you seen Larry Gonick's books? A Cartoon History of the Universe Parts I, II, and III, a Cartoon Guide to Physics, A Cartoon Guide to Probability, etc. Larry is extremely smart (an MIT dropout), has an incredible grasp of almost any field you can imagine, is able to make the murkiest things clear, does it with humor, and draws delightful characters. It's a model for something, but for what? How about for something like one of the unfinished Bloom books: Life In the Fame Factory: Two Thousand Years of Media Madness or how Alexander got to be Great and other secrets from the history of spin-doctoring The Wobble Factor or The Case of the Curious Cosmos-photons, fads, stock markets, and the lust for novelty The Big Bang Tango: Quarking in the Social Cosmos-notes toward a post-Newtonian science The Motivated Universe or Hit In the Head by Heavy Metal (my allegedly humorous and serious memoirs from the music days) I'm being presumptuous. It's your own projects we have to nourish. But working on one of these things would be fun. There's tons of material in the computer for each of them. The spin-doctoring book would lend itself best to cartoon treatment. Anything we did in book form we'd try to translate into TV. When the reality show fad fades, viewers are going to be hungry for something new. The Discovery channels could really use a serious philosophical/science cartoon show. For the use of visuals in a Bloom book, see the proposal for The Hidden Hearbeat of the West: Reinventing Capitalism--Putting Soul In the Machine: http://howardbloom.net/reinventing_capitalism cm: nor the flesh eager to complete simple tasks. hb: I know the feeling. It takes a goal, preferably one that other people want and have committed to or at least have shown serious interest in. cm: And the limitations of my vocabulary, my sources of inspiration, my understanding of literature, art and the world around me have become more and more clear over the past few years as I've become more aware of the difference between good ideas and bad, good writing and bad, good art and bad...and my inability to concoct the former in each category. hb: Ummm, it sounds to me like you've become sharper, not duller. But right now the sharpness is turning on you in self-criticism. Which, in turn, comes from isolation and not having the next goal.

The next goal ideally would be a go-ahead from the cable folks to begin doing Venture Brothers episodes. Then there's the current imperative--to reperceive the Venture Brothers so that whatever the viewers find obnoxious about the boys becomes an advantage. Ummm, maybe tell each tale from the point of view of a mellow, elderly Brock with a glass of sherry in his hand sitting in his posh mansion telling the tales of the distant past that mysteriously made him rich. The setting would be a takeoff on masterpiece theater. Brock could then narrate every act of violence with a total miscomprehension of his nature. "I was annoyed by the yapping of a puppy, but handled my irritation in a carefully controlled manner," says Brock as we see him disemboweling the poor little dog and pinning its still-functioning intestines up on the wall. So the running joke is that Brock thinks of himself as a master of anger control--a paragon of sanity--who was stuck with these looney kids and their loonier dad. He, of course, was the only sane one in the bunch. But when we see the way he blows up or butchers whatever comes across his path, we realize over and over again that this guy just never got it. Yes, the Venture family was bananas, but Brock was like King Kong on a mix of hallucinogens and speed. cm: Perhaps it's the world's fault, and this is stuff I'd love more insight from Howard on. There's serious, terrible stuff going on and I'm terrified of it. hb: I've been working hard on getting it. Did I explain on the phone why we NEED to go to war with Iraq? It's scary, but it's nothing to the world we'll have in five years if we don't squash Iraq. I wrote a mini-essay summing up the reasoning. I haven't fact-checked it, so there may be some minor errors. But here it is: If the human race is going to survive, this world needs a single superpower imposing peace…a hegemony...like the Pax Romana or the Pax Britannica. The superpower policing the planet will either be the United States or China. I'd prefer the United States. The Chinese would let us be entrepreneurs, but would silence our freedom of speech. They might also steal our technologies and cripple our industries in order to achieve economic dominance. I like being able to express my opinions. And I like being able to hear yours. I think our society is far more lithe and creative because we can wrangle out our thoughts-even if they do demonstrate a loathing of the current administration. None of this would be allowed in a world dominated by post-Dengism. Peace and order are based on a monopoly of force. A monopoly of cannons allowed the building of the nation-state. Now we're in a global age. It's time for a new form of monopoly. It is time, in fact, for what a mental midget in the White House is advocating-pre-emptive war.
To achieve a monopoly of force, you have to demonstrate that you're willing to use it. We have two choices. We go to war now and kill, let's say 200,000 folks--a horrid and grisly notion. We send out a loud and clear message that if you nuclearize, you are dead. We take care of Saddam and either scare the bejesus out of Kim Jung Il or whack him. Or we wait three to five years. By then every crack-assed, this-planet-is-a-cinder-in-the-eye-of-Allah-and-is-expendable, I-wanna-go-to-Paradise-and-collect-my-virgins dictator on the face of this earth will have his private stash of nuclear weapons. Then we'll watch anywhere from 200 million to 2 billion humans go up in glowing embers--assuming any humans survive at all. And assuming you and I are not among the victims. Remember the lessons of the 20th Century. We could have taken Kaiser Wilhelm down in roughly 1905. At that point he was too weak militarily to sustain a war of more than two to five months. Instead we had peace movements, hoped for the success of diplomacy, and gave the Kaiser time to build a nearly unbeatable military. The result: a seemingly endless war that started in 1913 and killed 20 million. In 1936, when Hitler took Czechoslovakia, we could have easily wiped him out. He was bluffing. His military machine wasn't yet strong enough to defend itself against an attack by an alliance determined to stop his territorial hunger.Instead we had peace moments and hoped to address Germany's "legitimate grievances," resolving them via diplomacy. By 1939, Hitler's army was strong enough, his generals told him, to sustain a war of approximately six years. Again, tens of millions died because we wanted to settle things in a civilized manner. Do you want to be an accomplice in the death of between 200 million and 2 billion people? If so, please join your local peace march and chant until your uvula turns green. I want a world of peace. So do you. But until our understanding of ourselves goes a good deal farther, we have to face the fact that we live in a world of violence. If we pledge to remain non-violent, those who've declared themselves our enemies and who love "death more than you love life" will chuckle at our weakness…and use it to cheer their comrades on to new atrocities. They will fight the battle of the faithful and the good--the fight for justice, manners, and purity-the battle for the truth of God's messenger.

They will assert the truth expressed by an al-Qaeda-allied author, Seif Al-Din Al-Ansari, the fact that we live on an expendable "speck of dust called Planet Earth." They will use our reticence to make the mother of all wars. And it will not be environmentally friendly. cm: This world doesn't resemble the one I grew up in or hoped to live in as I aged. hb: it happened to my parents and probably to yours as well. It must have been scary as all hell to live through the First World War as a kid, then to have the Second World War break out when you were 33 years old. It's scarier now because we no longer live on a continent protected by the Atlantic and Pacific. Like the French in WWI and WWII, we're now in the middle of the action. One of my French friends was reduced to picking through the plants in the garden for snails during WWII, when she was just a little girl. It was the only thing she had to eat. But she lived through it and became an incredible person. cm: Not even this city is that anymore. There's an imbecilic child in the White House, which might have been excusable and bearable for a four year stretch in the past but now seems grotesque, deadly, world-destroying. Never before have I seen a leader so inclined toward the use of gross, inept catchphrases and soundbites--the likes of which would be corny in even the lamest action movie--to get his point across and dictate world policy. Never before have I seen someone with the gall to even bring up nuclear weapons (or "nucular", as he calls them) as a reasonable show of force in the course of diplomatic discussions. What once seemed like farce has now mutated into...what else can I call it when so many lives are at stake? Evil.

hb: it's the hegelian thing of the greatest evil coming from a battle between two things that are inherently good. The Osamaites and Jihadists are idealists. They want to make a pure world, a world cleansed of evil and dedicated to good. But, as one of them explained in an article a year or so ago, the Koran says that the only way to achieve this is to torture and eradicate the bad guys. And the Koran, he says, is very specific about the fact that torture must be used. So must annihilation. In fact, the Koran says that anyone who sits at home and waits for the West to fall of its own weight or who waits for Allah to punish the west and bring it down, is a slacker whom god will never forgive. This guy is affiliated with groups that are a hair's breadth away from taking over Pakistan--complete with Pakistan's stockpile of nuclear weapons, medium range missiles, and three next-generation stealth submarines designed to get to North America, launch nuclear missiles capable of reaching inland as far as the Missippi River, whether launched from the Atlantic or Pacific, then go back home. If we wipe out Pakistan in retalation, no problem. The guys who want to take the country over are from Egypt and Saudi Arabia. Islam, they say, can afford to lose 200 or 300 million members of the Ummah. See, they treat their women right. We don't. We turn them into prostitutes who parade around with their legs showing. But those who treat their women properly keep them at home covered in black robes and fuck them into having seven or more children apiece. Four wives having seven kids each--that gives Islam a lot of spare kids, kids overburdened mothers and fathers can happily send off to martyrdom...and paradise, where God pays for their food, their housing, and their virgins. cm: I was ashamed of this country when this clown got elected--even though he stole the election--because even if he lost the popular vote by a slim margin, it means that MILLIONS of people thought it was a good idea to vote for him. He, an unaccomplished, unspecial, mental midget of a rich boy, with no gift for giving speeches or forming sensible policies...how did so many people fall for it? hb: John McCain should have been the Republican candidate. He had the public following. But big tobacco and big oil wanted a puppet, not an independent human who might come down on them. And big oil and big tobacco controlled the Republican Party. That was the real story covered up by the diversion of the Monica Lewinsky affair.

The public was cheated because the press was willing to go after Monica and ignore the purchase of the entire legislative system. And too many of us were ready to follow the red herring-or the stain of sin on Monica's blue dress. So if you want someone to blame, try the New York Times, The Washington Post, and the network news anchors. Or try us…the ones who gobbled up the Republican-sponsored Lewinsky soap opera. In all honesty, I must confess that the Washington Post did a superb job of investigating one rich bozo-Scaife--and his subsidization of a bring-down-Clinton-at-any-cost squad. The story just never made the headlines. I wish I had time for another life and another career--as a Washington pr man. It's the PR people who feed the press the stories. The reporters are too lazy to investigate anything on their own. And I like turning lunkheads with IQs of 135 around-smart people who've put their brains in storage-- making them see and write about what they're ignoring--the things that are REALLY important. Life in the Fame Factory gives the press the hell it deserves--it rips off the mask of integrity and shows the scum beneath the surface. It also shows how necessary pr games are to the shaping of a civilization. Nonetheless, on Iraq Bush is doing an absolutely necessary thing. cm: There wasn't even anything to fall for! He had no act, no schtick to dupe people with...he just showed up, performed badly, and people voted for him. We've had lousy presidents before and spent four years joking about them on Saturday Night Live and Letterman, but then we were suddenly dropped into the most serious of times in recent history, and things got extremely scary, extremely quickly. The more I think about it, the more ominous the feelings I can't put my finger on become, the more it seems obvious to me--through nothing but instinct and common sense--that a frightful shift has occurred in the halls of power. It's as bad as if someone actually decided to drive the country into the ground, and every day the moves this administration makes are more and more wrong, it seems.

Hb: Bush's alleged tax plan-the make the super-rich richer, welfare for exclusive golf course members plan-may just soak the country dry. I don't really know what it will do to the economy, but it you gave those billions to poor people (who haven't done a damned thing to deserve them), the money would be spent immeidiately on booze, groceries, and $150 pairs of Timberlakes or whatever has replace Nike in street cool. Thus the money would circulate, making us all a bit wealthier. Call it the "trickle up" theory. Give money we don't have to the rich and they'll park it in a bank account or a safe investment. Investments are good when an economy is hopping. They give companies the money to expand production capacity. That, in turn, makes lots of jobs. Everybody gets a paycheck and goes home happy. But when the economy is sour, no company in its right mind is going to expand its plant and equipment. The plant and equipment it already has is going idle and losing money every minute it's out of operation. Who needs more machines to make things folks on unemployment can't afford? So aside from giving us a huge national debt, the pay-back-my-wealthy-donors tax plan is either criminal, bonkers, or both. But at least Bush won't do what a smart guy would do-piddle around and procrastinate on Iraq, worrying about the moral implications and out-appeasing Neville Chamberlain in the process. Making a Holocaust in the name of reason and peace. Cm: I don't know what to think any more...I don't know what's going to happen or where my world is going to be but it certainly feels like it's going to get a lot worse before it gets better--if it ever gets better in my lifetime--and that things will never be comfortable again. I have no power and no reliable information to work with. My dreams are dying on a daily basis and leaving only fear and anger, which in turn breed more fear and anger because I become afraid that these emotions are too easy for the wrong elements to harnass, and they're all too common in this country, among people who won't stop to think for a second. Hb: Yeeks. I'm hoping to address this problem through the Reinventing Capitalism thing. It should really be called something like Reinventing Western Civilization, but that title gives the feeling of a dry and disgustingly dull textbook. cm: Dark days, my friend, and dark thoughts going along with them.

Hb: in a sense hopeful days, Chris. It takes a crisis to make people welcome a new message. But the race has been on ever since we met to get the positive message out there before the negative can kidnap the culture. So far, I'm not doing as well in getting positives across as is needed-not at all. Hopefully with a manager, an LA attorney who believes me when I say I want to do things whose meaning will still empower people 200 years from now, and with the folks who seem committed to Reinventing Capitalism, I can begin to make a difference. And can ally with others who are trying to do the same thing. Just talked to someone tonight who's got an international movement going. He and I seem to be on the same wavelength, delivering very similar messages. It's time for us good guys to get together. The problem is that each of us is driven by ego and a need for the spotlight. That's our strength. Without that drive we wouldn't try to do outlandishly idealistic things. But it's our disadvantage when we try to form an alliance. Each of us wants to be the star. I sure as heck do. Horrible confession, eh? Cm: Part of me wants to eliminate everyone from the face of the earth who would wish ill on my country and my city--and part of me is terrified at what would happen if any kind of real conflict was ignited between "us" and "them", and wonders what would be left of "us" in the end. Watching the press go along with it all is perhaps the most disturbing part of it. I'm usually the last one to cry "conspiracy" when the weird stuff is going down, but it appears I've got an insane or imbecilic or puppet president who is hell bent on going to war, hell bent on suppressing any real reporting of anything that happens, but strangely wants to throw out the constitution so he can read my email and knock my door down, and strangely concerned with the flag and the pledge of allegiance--hastily added 1954 references to God and all. So tell me, Howard, as the most plugged in guy I know: what the hell is going on and how do we get through this? hb: see above. Stay alert and active on civil liberties. But remember this. I can get away with my techno lust because I know the environmentalists are covering the negative side of things. That gives me the luxury to technodream my ass off without thinking out what cadmium and nitrates the gizmos I want would introduce into rivers, the ocean, and the atomsphere. You've got powerful allies in saving civil liberties. Folks who are normally the enemies of folks like you and me. Pat Robertson, my long-time foe, has slammed down hard on Bush, saying that our civil liberties must, must, must be saved. The radical right wing that normally wants to not only whomp our freedom of speech but to cut out our secular humanist tongues out is now gung ho into protecting the bill of rights. Don't ask me why, I don't know. But these are people Bush has to pay attention to. Our enemies may yet save us. Onward and hopefully upward--Howard
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In a message dated 11/8/2002 11:39:13 AM Eastern Standard Time, checker writes: Frank Forman here: You're a bit overheated here, Howard. This whole "war" is going to cost us at most one year of economic growth, say 4% of GDP. hb: Frank, ya never know. The Franco-Prussian War of 1871 was over and done with in approximately six weeks. The barbarians--the little guys--won by toppling a major superpower--something like the Iraquis winning a war against us. Then came WWI and everyone figured it would be over in weeks too. The law of unintended consequences took over and the european continent was bogged down in blood for year after intolerable year. The unintended consequence of snippng Saddam's nuclear and biological balls may be a war with all of Islam....a war fought with ultra-modern, off-the-shelf weapons fought in novel ways...fought from within the cties of Europe and America, where the Osama-its have planted their cells. And fought with nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons. Meanwhile Pervez Musharref's popularity in Pakistan is sinking. The popularity of Maulana Fazlur Rahman, a rabble-rousing, riot-raising alley of Osama bin Laden, is going up. Pakistan has the Islamic Bomb. It also has three next-generation, ultra-quiet stealth submarines capable of launching nuclear-tipped missiles. With their range of 10,000 miles, these subs could nuke every American city from LA to Omaha and from Washington to Houston. Whether Pakistan has managed to miniaturize its nukes to fit in warheads and to make enough of them to char all of North America I don't know. But they have the shipyard that build the subs and are capable of turning out more. Would they nuke us knowing that we would nuke them back? Hell, yes. Osama has said that the Islamic Ummah is all one, from Nigeria to the Philippines. It can afford, he says, to lose 50 million people here and 100 million people there. True Islam, the Islam of Holy War, Osama says, has two advantages over us. In the words of Osama's allies who took over a Moscow theater a few weeks ago, "We prize death more than you prize life." And Islam, according to Osama, outbreeds us. Islamic women are willing to give birth to eleven children and designate five of them as martyrs. Why nuke us? The greatness of a great man is achieved by the body count he piles up. Alexander the Great was great because of his conquests. Conquest means murdering to expand of your power. A radioactive scouring of North America would fulfill a Koranic prophecy-igniting "the fire whose fuel is Men and Stones which is prepared for those who reject Faith."

It would also allow the Osamaites in New York, Detroit, Birmingham, London, Belgium, Holland, France, Spain, and Germany to live up to another batch of Koranic commandments: "Come fight in the way of Allah...kill them wherever you find them...then slay them; such is the recompense of the unbelievers. You shall soon be invited (to fight) against a people possessing mighty prowess; you will fight against them until they submit... The punishment of those who wage war against Allah and His Apostle and strive with might and main for mischief through the land is: execution or crucifixion or the cutting off of hands and feet from opposite sides… Say to the unbelievers if (now) they desist (from unbelief) their past would be forgiven them; but if they persist …fight them on until there is no more tumult or oppression and there prevail justice and faith in Allah altogether and everywhere. … Then Praise be to Allah Lord of the heavens and Lord of the earth Lord and Cherisher of all the worlds!" There's a website that specializes in recruiting English-speaking young men--Arab or Anglo Saxon--to join the jihad. It's www.jamatdawa.org/. The website gives a pretty good idea of what militant Islam would do to a Europe that's left unprotected by American might. Dr. Mohsin Farooqi gloats over "the history of Muslim rule in Europe." Farooqui's goal? "to remind the Muslim Ummah of its glorious past." Farooqi crows with pride about the days when Islam's troops brought "terror to the Inhabitants of Corsica, Sardinia, Pisa and Genoa," "massacred the males" of Montferrat, and "devastated the cities and villages [of England and Ireland] and carried away booty and captives." Farooqi boasts about the fact that, "The terror of Muslim invaders along the old Danube highway hung over Europe for centuries" and that, "The yoke of Tatar Government remained on the necks of Russians for two hundred and fifty years." Clearly Allah has given Islam nukes for a reason. And Allah, with equal clarity, has said that all the earth belongs to him and to his believers. The Jihad that's been waged against the West for 1,350 years now suffered a temporary setback in the 20th century. But men learn from their setbacks. The next century is one in which men like Osama and Farooqi can foresee the ultimate victory--a Germany, France, and England that will bow down to Islam and, inshallah, shall even be ruled in a just and proper manner, ruled by the laws Allah himself has given to man through his one true prophet and that prophet's Koran. This isn't going to be an easy or cheap battle, Frank. But we have to take the so-called "weapons of mass destruction" out of the hands of the Libyans, the Pakistanis, the Iraqis, and the Iranians before it's too late. Howard
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Disarming Iraq is not enough. The time is rapidly coming when we will have to disarm Pakistan as well, stripping it of its nuclear warheads, its medium range missiles, and its long-range nuclear-missile carrying submarines. Howard

Pakistani Cleric Vows to Resist West By RIAZ KHAN .c The Associated Press NOWSHEHRA, Pakistan (AP) - The strong showing by religious parties in Pakistan's election heralds an Islamic revolution that will rid the nation of Western influence and lead to a state governed by a strict interpretation of Islamic law, a top Pakistani cleric said. The religious coalition, called the United Action Forum, swept to a surprising victory in the rugged North West Frontier Province along the border with Afghanistan, and stood poised to form the first Islamic provincial government in Pakistan's history. It also could become partners in the government in Baluchistan, another province bordering Afghanistan, electoral officials said. That would give Islamic parties a powerful voice in two of Pakistan's four provinces. Baluchistan and the North West Frontier Province are the nation's least populous regions, but are of the greatest strategic value to the United States in its war on terrorism. ``We will bring an Islamic revolution to Pakistan,'' Qazi Hussain Ahmed, the vice president of the coalition, told about 3,000 male supporters at a sports stadium in Nowshehra, 28 miles east of the frontier city of Peshawar. ``Our target is to implement an Islamic system in the whole country, and the North West Frontier Province is the first step in this regard.'' Onlookers cheered and chanted ``God is Great!'' as Ahmed and other speakers railed against President Gen. Pervez Musharraf for his support of the United States' war in neighboring Afghanistan. The elections were the first since Musharraf seized power in a 1999 bloodless coup. The two best-known Pakistani politicians, former prime ministers Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif, both were blocked from contesting the race, leaving an opening for the religious parties to do well. Ahmed was one of about three dozen religious party candidates to win seats in the national parliament, by far their best performance to date. No other party seemed poised to win a clear majority in parliament, which is comprised of 272 general seats and 70 others allocated to women and minorities. In the National Assembly, with almost all of the 272 general seats counted, a pro-Musharraf coalition, the Qaid-e-Azam faction of the Pakistan Muslim League, had won the largest number. But their 77 seats are not enough to form a majority. Bhutto's Pakistan People's Party was second with 63 seats, followed by the coalition of religious parties with 45. Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz group had 14 seats, with the remaining seats handed to independents or small party candidates. Another 70 seats reserved for women and minority candidates will be apportioned to each party depending on their showing, bringing the total size of Parliament to 342 seats. The religious parties normally register barely 5 percent of the vote in Pakistani elections, and their strong showing was seen as a repudiation of Musharraf's decision to support the United States in its war on terrorism. The head of Peshawar's main mosque used his Friday sermon to exhort the newly elected religious candidates to fight for Pakistanis imprisoned in that war. ``Their first task should be to seek the release of those Pakistanis who are held at Guantanamo Bay,'' said Maulana Mohammed Yousuf Qureshi, as supporters punched fists in the air to show their support. He was referring to the U.S. naval base in Cuba where suspected Taliban and al-Qaida are being detained. Ahmed, the head of Jamaat-e-Islami, the main force in the religious coalition, said his group planned a new reading of the constitution to bring the country in line with his brand of Islamic teachings. ``We will interpret the constitution of the country in its real Islamic spirit,'' he said. ``We will eliminate obscenity from the country, and particularly from radio and TV, and gradually, we will eliminate Western culture from our country.'' 10/12/02

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There's a lesson in the newly-discovered material on the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, a lesson that applies directly to our personal decisions to oppose or support an unequivocal effort to disarm Iraq. American intelligence thought there were only 33 medium-range missiles in Cuba. There were 42. The American military and administration assumed that a Soviet sub near the coast of Cuba (and hence near the coast of the United States) would not be armed with nuclear-tipped missiles. They were wrong. There was at least one nuclear missile programmed to target America in a submarine we were rocking with depth charges. The captain of that sub thought the depth charges meant the start of war and thought seriously of launching his atomic weapons.

The lesson-never underestimate your enemy. Shoot for the best-peace. But prepare for the worst-attacks of a kind that defy imagination. Defying imagination wins wars for attackers. And war was declared against us by Osama bin Laden as early as 1992. Bin Laden is not just a shadowy exception to the rule-an outcast in Islamic society. He is a part of its large militant mainstream. Like another leader who declared war on the West--the Ayatolla Khomeini--bin Laden is what the Atlantic Monthly calls one of the most influential Moslems of modern times.

We should never make the Cuban Missile Crisis mistake again. Especially when we are dealing with men who are willing to sacrifice the lives of huge numbers of their fellow Moslems in order to either Islamize us or eradicate us totally. Howard

Reference: Reuel Marc Gerecht. The Gospel According to Osama Bin Laden. The Atlantic Monthly | January 2002. Retrieved From the Worldwide Web October 12, 2002
http://www.theatlantic.com/issues/2002/01/gerecht.htm

More Revealed on Cuban Missile Crisis By ANITA SNOW .c The Associated Press HAVANA (AP) - Key actors in the 1962 Cuban missile crisis meeting here Saturday have learned that fast-moving events 40 years ago nearly spun out of control and brought them closer to nuclear disaster than they ever imagined. Studying newly declassified documents at a conference on the crisis, Cuban, American and Russian protagonists were told the most dangerous day of all was Oct. 27, 1962 - when a U.S. Navy destroyer dropping depth charges off the Cuban coast almost accidentally hit the hull of a Soviet submarine carrying a nuclear warhead. The U.S. military ``did not have a clue that the submarine had a nuclear weapon on board,'' Thomas Blanton, director of the National Security Archives, told reporters Friday night. The nonprofit archive at George Washington University collected many of the documents for study during the three-day conference on the crisis that started Friday. The depth charges ``exploded right next to the hull,'' Vadim Orlov, the submarine's signals intelligence officer, said in a written account of the incident. ``It felt like you were sitting in a metal barrel, which somebody is constantly blasting with a sledgehammer.'' At first, submarine crew members considered using the nuclear weapon, thinking that war had erupted, Orlov wrote in his account. But they ultimately surfaced, showing themselves to their American pursuers and defusing the tension. Another document showed that U.S. intelligence officials had photographed only 33 of the 42 medium-range missiles in Cuba that the Americans later discovered were there at the time. Intelligence officials also never found any nuclear warheads, which they later learned had been kept on the island. The historic papers underscored the danger of a nuclear attack - either accidental or deliberate - that existed during those tense October days. ``A real war will begin, in which millions of Americans and Russians will die,'' Anatoly Dobrynin, the Soviet ambassador to the United States, quoted then-U.S. Attorney General Robert Kennedy as telling him in a top secret memo, now declassified, on Oct. 27, 1962. ``The situation may get out of control, with irreversible consequences,'' Robert Kennedy warned after an American spy plane was shot down over Cuba and President Kennedy was pressured to order pilots to return fire if fired upon. Cuban President Fidel Castro participated in the conference's closed door sessions Friday and Saturday, as did former Defense Secretary Robert McNamara and other key advisers from the Kennedy administration. As events began spinning out of control in late October 1962, Castro began expecting a U.S. airstrike on Soviet facilities on the island and was prepared to shoot down American combat aircraft if they invaded Cuba, according to a top secret military directive to Gen. Issa A. Pliyev, head of Soviet forces in Havana. The Soviets were prepared as well. ``In case of a strike on our facilities by American aircraft it has been decided to use all available air defense forces,'' the directive said. A portion of the documents, made available to The Associated Press in Washington, demonstrate that the crisis did not end on Oct. 29, 1962, with the Soviet Union's agreement to remove the offensive weapons, as was widely believed. Weeks after the Soviet Union agreed to pull the missiles from Cuba, Khrushchev worried that an ``irrational'' Castro would renew tensions with the United States - and perhaps provoke war. Cuba ``wants practically to drag us behind it with a leash, and wants to pull us into a war with America by its actions,'' Khrushchev said in a Nov. 16, 1962, letter to diplomatic aides in Cuba. During conference sessions on Friday, participants also looked at American covert actions following the disastrous CIA-backed invasion of Cuba's Bay of Pigs in April 1961 and how they intensified Cuban fears of a U.S. military attack. The missile crisis began in mid-October 1962 when President Kennedy learned that Cuba had Soviet nuclear missiles capable of reaching the United States. The crisis was defused two weeks later when the Soviet Union agreed to remove the missiles. Former Kennedy aides Arthur Schlesinger Jr., Richard Goodwin and Ted Sorensen are attending the conference, as well as former CIA analyst Dino Brugioni, who interpreted American spy photos of Soviet missiles in Cuba. On the Net: http://www.gwu.edu/(tilde)nsarchiv/nsa/cuba-mis-cri/ 10/12/02
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By the way, we have to go to war because militant Islam, the Jihadists, have declared war on us and have been making it with the weapons that come to hand--boats filled with explosives, planes filled with fuel, bombs outside cafes where Americans like to go, etc. Now Islam has the nuclear bomb, three 10,000-mile-range missile carrying submarines, medium range rockets, and a host of suicide bombers trained to carry anything from sarin to smallpox or nukes into the heartlands of the jewish/american conspiracy....New York, LA, Washington. The long range goal of those who ape Osama is to turn north america into a nuclear wasteland. you, my dear ida, are a special target. you are part of the international jewish conspiracy. we must strip Islam of the weapons of apocalypse before the jihadists get their hands on them and burn this continent (and Israel) to a crisp. Howard

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I'm not normally paranoid, but I smell a swindle in the following three stories. Stripping Iraq, Iran, Libya, and even our temporary "friend" Pakistan of nuclear, chemical, and biological weaponry is a necessity. The only way to do this may be military attack. But the price of oil is going to be driven sky-high by this mandatory play in the global game of live-or-die. Oil stocks in the US are at a 25-year low just as we're heading into winter. Domestic oil producers stand to make huge profits, just as they did when the California energy crunch occurred. Who is the whole Texas branch of the Bush administration connected to the most firmly? Domestic oil producers.

Is an urgent necessity doing double duty-fattening the bank accounts of Bush friends and family while it tries to nip in the bud an Islamic military buildup that could eradicate our population or, at the least, cause a societal meltdown in the US? Howard

Oil steady after Yemen ship attack By Sujata Rao LONDON, Oct 7 (Reuters) - Oil prices held steady Monday as dealers shrugged off a suspected attack on an oil tanker off the coast of small Middle Eastern producer Yemen. Prices had spiked in London morning trade as France opened a preliminary inquiry into Sunday's explosion that gutted the French-flagged supertanker Limburg as it prepared to dock at Mina al-Dabah near Mukalla in Yemen. Benchmark Brent rose to a high of $28.60 a barrel, up 48 cents, but closed up just eight cents at $28.20. U.S. benchmark light crude edged up three cents to $29.65 a barrel, below recent $31 highs. A director of Euronav SA, Limburg's owners, said he thought terrorists, using a small craft his crew saw approaching the tanker, could have caused the blast. The explosion raised speculation of an attack similar to one two years ago when a boat laden with explosives crashed into the U.S. destroyer USS Cole killing 17 U.S. sailors. "There is a feeling in the market that this explosion highlights the danger to oil supplies from the region in case of war," said GNI oil research analyst Lawrence Eagles. Tensions already are high on world oil markets as dealers prepare for the possibility of an assault within months by the United States on Iraq. Oil traders already are pricing crude at a premium as U.S. President George W. Bush steps up his campaign for the removal of Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein. The president is scheduled to outline his case against Saddam in a televised address to the nation at 0001 GMT on Tuesday. Bush said at the weekend that a war against Iraq may be unavoidable and that a delay was not an option to keep Saddam from inflicting "massive and sudden horror" with chemical and biological weapons. Oil traders fear Middle East violence could spread and disrupt flows of crude from a region which accounts for about a third of world exports. "There is a certain nervousness ahead of the Bush speech which could potentially move the United States closer to war," Eagles said. Washington and Britain are pushing for the United Nations to adopt a tough new resolution for the return of weapons inspectors to Iraq that would sanction military action if Saddam does not comply. But the draft resolution is opposed by France, China and Russia, the other three permanent members of the U.N. security council with veto powers. Meanwhile the world's largest oil consumer, the U.S., is facing what could be a serious shortfall in crude and heating oil supplies in the approach to winter. Two consecutive hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico in recent weeks that disrupted imports and halted production facilities in the region, could bite further into stocks which last week fell to 25-year lows. 10/07/02 14:43 ET Copyright 2002 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon. All active hyperlinks have been inserted by AOL.
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Retrieved From the Worldwide WebOctober 07, 2002
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/international/AP-Bin-Laden-Tape.html?pagewanted=print&position=top
October 7, 2002 Bin Laden Said to Warn of Attacks By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS Filed at 12:09 p.m. ET CAIRO, Egypt (AP) -- On a new audiotape said to be from Osama bin Laden, a male voice warns that the ``youths of God'' are planning more attacks against the United States. The Arab satellite station Al-Jazeera, which broadcast the tape Sunday, said the voice was that of bin Laden, but there was no way to verify that claim or when the recording was made. ``By God, the youths of God are preparing for you things that would fill your hearts with terror and target your economic lifeline until you stop your oppression and aggression'' against Muslims, the voice said. U.S. officials have said they don't know whether bin Laden, whose al-Qaida terror group is thought to have carried out the Sept. 11 terror attacks, is still alive. In Washington, President Bush's spokesman was asked about the authenticity of the tape. ``We don't know,'' said White House press secretary Ari Fleischer. ``Don't know; but as the president has said on numerous occasions this is about more than one person and that's where it stands.'' Al-Jazeera chief editor Ibrahim Helal told The Associated Press by telephone that the station received the tape two hours before the Sunday evening broadcast. He refused to say how the tape was received. ``We had no doubt this was bin Laden. It was not only the tone of the voice but also the way he spoke and the logic of the message,'' Helal said. He said the fact the message was so brief ``showed that the man (bin Laden) was in tough circumstances and does not have a chance to talk.'' Qatar-based al-Jazeera has become known for its broadcast of audio and videotapes of al-Qaida leaders. Last month, it aired excerpts from a videotape in which a voice said to be bin Laden's is heard naming the leaders of the 19 Sept. 11 hijackers. Until then, bin Laden had not been heard from since shortly after the U.S.-led bombing campaign began in Afghanistan last October. In the recording broadcast Sunday, the man said his message was addressed to the American people, whom he urged to ``understand the message of the New York and Washington attacks which came in response to some of your previous crimes.'' ``Those who have initiated (the attacks) are the ones who brought injustice,'' he said. ``But those who follow the activities of the band of criminals in the White House, the Jewish agents, who are preparing for an attack on the Muslim world ... feel that you have not understood anything from the message of the two attacks,'' he said. ``So let America increase the pace of this conflict or decrease it, and we will respond in kind,'' he said. The reference appeared to be to the U.S.-Iraq confrontation many believe will lead to war, which would date the tape to recent weeks. The reference, however, could have been to another conflict. Al-Jazeera, a Qatar-based satellite television station, said one of its correspondents conducted an interview in June with two top al-Qaida fugitives was aired to correspond with the first anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks. Shortly afterward, U.S. officials announced one of the fugitives had been captured in Pakistan. Copyright The Associated Press | Privacy Policy
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Retrieved From the Worldwide WebOctober 07, 2002
http://www.abc.net.au/pm/s695284.htm
ABC RADIO Australian Broadcasting Listen to this story [Requires Microsoft Media Player] This is a transcript of PM broadcast at 1800 AEST on local radio. Who attacked the Italian oil tanker? PM - Monday, October 7, 2002 18:10 MARK COLVIN: The owners of the super tanker that's burning off the coast of Yemen seem in little doubt that they've been the victims of a terrorist attack, but others seem less convinced. Yemen itself is appearing to deny that a small boat filled with explosive rammed the Limburg, with its cargo of nearly 400,000 barrels of Iranian oil. But newsagencies are quoting a French diplomat in Yemen as saying it happened. The French Foreign Ministry, however, is being more cautious. The explosion has already raised speculation about the possibility of an Al Qaeda attack. It's morning in Paris now. I asked our correspondent, Michael Brissenden, what the French were saying about the attack. MICHAEL BRISSENDEN: Well they're still fairly tight lipped, Mark. They're just waiting, they say, until the outcome of any investigation. They are saying that they're sending their own team, a French team, to help the Yemen authorities with the investigation. But they're saying they're not really going to say anything yet until the outcome of that investigation is known. MARK COLVIN: Why would it be so sensitive? Because as I say, there is a French diplomat in Yemen actually being quoted as saying there were explosives on the vessel. Why is the Quai d'Orsay being so careful? MICHAEL BRISSENDEN: Well, I don't think anybody really knows. They don't want to jump the gun on such a sensitive issue. I mean if it isn't a terrorist act then obviously there are implications there. If it is a terrorist act, then it's going to have a huge effect on the oil market I would imagine, and shipping. And I think it's a fairly sensitive issue. I'm sure the French don't want to go off half-cocked so to speak and call it a terrorist act before they actually know it was a terrorist act or not. MARK COLVIN: If it is a terrorist attack, who might it have been aimed at? Because, it's a French ship but it's not French oil and there may be other countries involved. MICHAEL BRISSENDEN: Well, certainly I think the speculation is that if it's a terrorist act then it's designed to destabilise the global economy. Because clearly an attack like this on a big super tanker is an attack on the oil industry, oil prices will go up, the world economy is obviously linked to the price of oil and clearly there will be a lot of restrictions and people thinking twice about where they're going to send their shipping. MARK COLVIN: Who does own the oil and do we know where it was going and where it was coming from? MICHAEL BRISSENDEN: Well, this ship was coming from Iran. It had 400,000 tonnes of oil loaded on it and it was going to pick up more oil in Yemen. That's as much as we know so far about where it comes from. MARK COLVIN: And are there any clues as to whether it could have been Al Qaeda. I know that Al Jazeera has been running a tape which they've claimed to be the voice of bin Laden. Could there be any connection there? MICHAEL BRISSENDEN: Well, there is a lot of speculation of course, as you could imagine at the moment. But this has come almost two years to the day on the anniversary on the attack on the US warship, the USS Cole, which killed 17 servicemen, it's also come almost a year before the US started their attacks into Afghanistan. Yemen is also Osama Bin Laden's ancestral home and there have been a lot of connections between him and Yemen since then. So if it is a terrorist act the speculation is that it is the work of Al Qaeda. But as I say, the only people saying that it has been an attack at this point definitively are the people who own the ship, who say they saw a small boat speeding towards their ship just before the explosion. And the only way that such a hole could be burst through the double hull of this very new super tanker would be if that small boat carried a large amount of explosives, and that is the way that the USS Cole was attacked. MARK COLVIN: Michael Brissenden. And the Limburg is still on fire and there's grave danger the Yemeni authorities are saying of an oil slick and an environmental disaster. Transcripts on this website are created by an independent transcription service. The ABC does not warrant the accuracy of the transcripts. ABC Online users are advised to listen to the audio provided on this page to verify the accuracy of the transcripts. © 2002 ABC | Privacy Policy

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Thanks, Alex. I agree with the Bush Doctrine. We've been pushed into it by a new kind of international warfare--Osama's global, wireless warfare--in an age when Osama's will inevitably get their hands on weapons of mass destruction and use them if given the opportunity. I also agree with Robert Manne's interpretation of the illogical dilemmmas this poses. If we can defang those who would use nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons to wipe out entire societies that displease them, we're caught in a paradoxical trap. Yes, we have to become the world hegemon. We're the only ones with the power to do it. And I'd hate to see our major rival, China, take on that role. China would end my freedom of speech and yours if it were given the right to dictate the quality of our lives. Meanwhile, as the great protector, we can shield China and Australia, not to mention Europe, from attacks that would wipe out entire cities. The Chinese will continue to thrive, and our strength and resources will be burdened heavily. Being the world's policeman could bankrupt us, tossing the planet into Chinese hands. But someone has gotta do it.

Howard In a message dated 9/29/2002 9:27:19 PM Eastern Daylight Time, alex writes: Retrieved From the Worldwide WebSeptember 29, 2002 http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2002/09/29/1033283386907.html A strategy for world chaos September 30 2002 Not so long ago, the US considered preventive war unthinkable, writes Robert Manne. On April 7, 1950, a plan for the conduct of the American Cold War, known as NSC-68, was handed to president Harry Truman. At this time the United States believed that, unless blocked by overwhelming military force, the Soviet Union was certain to try to expand its power and overrun the "free world". NSC-68 advocated a policy of global containment, deterrence and political exploitation of the internal weaknesses in the Soviet bloc. It provided the blueprint for US policy until the Soviet Union's collapse in 1991. Ten days ago George Bush handed to Congress a document of similar ambition, "The National Security Strategy of the USA". If the Bush doctrine survives, it will play in the history of the war on terror the role NSC-68 played in the history of the Cold War. Given its extraordinary potential significance, I have been surprised by the lack of discussion in Australia so far. The Bush doctrine argues that in the 10 years following the Soviet collapse, the US failed to grasp the nature of the threats posed by the post-Cold War world. With the terrible events of September 11, the US awoke. At first the US characterised the new enemy it faced as "terrorism". Later it refined the idea of the new enemy to "terrorism with a global range", a euphemism for the kind of terrorism with the capacity to inflict harm on the civilian populations in the US, or elsewhere in the West. Since the shock of September 11, the new enemy has expanded to include "rogue states". In the Bush doctrine, a rogue state is a regime that brutalises its own people, seeks to acquire weapons of mass destruction and expresses hatred for the US. Although, according to the new doctrine, these rogue states are infinitely less militarily formidable than the old Cold War enemy, if anything they pose to the US an even greater strategic threat. Unlike the Soviet Union, the rogue states are not "risk-averse". For them, "weapons of mass destruction" are the "weapons of choice". Rogue states believe that by using such weapons they can overcome "the conventional superiority of the United States". Even more, such states are the major "sponsors" of world terrorism. Because of the "overlap" between rogue states and the global terrorist networks, the US now has no alternative but to act. Here we arrive at the heart of the new Bush military doctrine. The US, it is claimed, faces the prospect of attack either from one of the rogue states or from a terrorist group supplied by them with weapons of mass destruction.

Before this kind of threat, Cold War ideas about deterrence and containment are obsolete. The only rational military strategy is the "pre-emptive strike". According to the Bush doctrine, the idea of the pre-emptive strike, as a legitimate form of self-defence, can be found in the mainstream traditions of international law. In this tradition, the use of a pre-emptive strike is justified at a time when enemy forces are massing, when a "visible" threat appears. After September 11, however, circumstances have changed. The new enemy is invisible. It may strike with lethal weapons without warning. To these new circumstances the concept of justified pre-emptive strike must adapt. "Even if uncertainty remains as to the time and place of the enemy's attack", under the new Bush doctrine the US claims the right to mount pre-emptive strikes. With the declaration of the Bush doctrine, a new chapter in the history of international relations may have opened. No task seems more vital than an evaluation of what is being proposed. One serious flaw in the Bush doctrine is what I would call its partial mischaracterisation of the likely behaviour of the enemy. Concerning the nature of this enemy, the doctrine is half right. It is almost self-evident that if anti-American Islamo-fascist terrorist networks, such as al Qaeda, were ever to become equipped with weapons of mass destruction they would do everything in their power to use these weapons against the civilian population of the US. Because the American struggle against al Qaeda and similar terrorist organisations is both necessary and just, it has received the support of virtually every government in the world. The post-September 11 extension of the struggle, to pre-emptive strikes against rogue states, seems to me, however, problematic in the extreme. The new Bush doctrine assumes there are states that are acquiring weapons of mass destruction for the purpose of launching attacks against the US, either directly or through proxy terrorist groups. For such an assumption, neither evidence nor logic exists. The Bush doctrine implies not merely that the leaders of the rogue states are extremely brutal (which is true) but also that they are, effectively, suicidal madmen who are willing to allow their regimes to be destroyed and their countries to be obliterated for the pleasure they derive from inflicting lethal damage on the object of their hatred, the US. There is nothing in the history of either Saddam Hussein's Iraq or Communist North Korea which indicates that insane behaviour of this kind is likely to occur.

The new idea of the pre-emptive strike is, moreover, far more revolutionary in its implications than supporters of the Bush doctrine will admit. Because the doctrine proposes military action against rogue states when no threat to the US is imminent, what in reality is being proposed is a strategy not of pre-emptive strike but of preventive war, a strategy that US military planners in NSC-68, at the most hawkish moment of the Cold War, described as "unthinkable" and as "repugnant" to civilised opinion in the world. For a preventive war to be launched, according to the logic of this new doctrine, a state need only imagine itself, at some time in the future, to be under threat. With such an idea the line between self-defence and aggression becomes hopelessly blurred. The danger of this conflation of pre-emptive strike and preventive war is aggravated precisely by the fact that the Bush doctrine makes it clear that the US reserves for itself the right to strike unilaterally without mandate from the established processes of the United Nations. Under the new doctrine, then, the US may not only go to war on the basis of an imagined threat. It also arrogates to itself the right to decide alone when and where such a threat exists. At the centre of the doctrine a huge conceptual hole appears. Does the US, as the world hegemon, alone possess the sovereign right to act unilaterally against a supposed threat to its security by prosecuting a preventive war, or does an identical right exist for other states? If the right does not exist for others, the Bush doctrine amounts to an almost formal claim to US world hegemony. If, on the other hand, all states possess the same right, the Bush doctrine opens the way to the return of the jungle, where the powerful have the capacity to impose their will.

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Richard--Participating in the think tank via live video or telephone hookup would be terrific. I've done this for The Research Library Group Annual Convention--a meeting of the heads of the world's 168 largest research libraries in Amsterdam--for QViz--a meeting of Silicon Valley's legends at the San Francisco Exploratorium, and for quit